- From: Juan Sequeda <juanfederico@gmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 19 Aug 2011 13:26:43 -0500
- To: Patrick Logan <patrickdlogan@gmail.com>
- Cc: Patrick Durusau <patrick@durusau.net>, public-lod@w3.org
- Message-ID: <CAMVTWDymGPe-p+MxgiUgDE06UQp4bEnzrVxsZhDgseK59XaJtA@mail.gmail.com>
No. Let them keep discussing. I want to see where this is going. If this thread is annoying, then archive it, filter it, mute it... email has a lot of options now a days :) Juan Sequeda +1-575-SEQ-UEDA www.juansequeda.com On Fri, Aug 19, 2011 at 11:47 AM, Patrick Logan <patrickdlogan@gmail.com>wrote: > As fascinating as this discussion is, maybe the two of you want to > work it out directly and then report back with a summary? > > Speaking as just one subscriber's data point, of course, I'm... > > -Patrick > > > On Fri, Aug 19, 2011 at 7:41 AM, Patrick Durusau <patrick@durusau.net> > wrote: > > Kingsley, > > > > Correction: I have never accused you of being modest or of not being an > > accountant. ;-) > > > > Nor have I said the costs you talk about in your accountant voice don't > > exist. > > > > The problem is identifying the cost to a particular client, say of email > > spam, versus the cost the solution for the same person. > > > > For example, I picked a spam article at random that says a 100 person > firm > > *could be losing* as much as $55,000 per year due to spam. > > > > Think about that for a minute. That works out to $550 per person. > > > > So, if your solution costs more than $550 per person, it isn't worth > buying. > > > > Besides, the $550 per person *isn't on the books.* Purchasing your > solution > > is. As they say, spam is a hidden cost. Hidden costs are hard to quantify > or > > get people to address. > > > > Not to mention that your solution requires an investment before the > software > > can exist for any benefit. That is an even harder sell. > > > > Isn't investment to enable a return from another investment (software, > > later) something accountants can see? > > > > Hope you are having a great day! > > > > Patrick > > > > > > PS: The random spam article: > > > http://blogs.cisco.com/smallbusiness/the_big_cost_of_spam_viruses_for_small_business/ > > > > > > On 8/19/2011 9:57 AM, Kingsley Idehen wrote: > >> > >> On 8/19/11 6:37 AM, Patrick Durusau wrote: > >>> > >>> Kingsley, > >>> > >>> One more attempt. > >>> > >>> The "press release" I pointed to was an example that would have to be > >>> particularized to a CIO or CTO in term of *their* expenses of > integration, > >>> then showing *their* savings. > >> > >> Yes, and I sent you a link to a collection of similar documents from > which > >> you could find similar research depending on problem type. On the first > page > >> you should have seen a link to a research document about the cost of > email > >> spam, for instance. > >> > >> CEO, CIOs, CTOs are all dealing with costs of: > >> > >> 1. Spam > >> 2. Password Management > >> 3. Security > >> 4. Data Integration. > >> > >> There isn't a shortage of market research material re. the above and > their > >> costs across a plethora of domains. > >> > >>> > >>> The difference in our positions, from my "context," is that I am saying > >>> the benefit to enterprises has to be expressed in terms of *their* > bottom > >>> line, over the next quarter, six months, year. > >> > >> For what its worth I worked for many years as an accountant before I > >> crossed over to the vendor realm during the early days of Open Systems > -- > >> when Unix was being introduced to enterprises. That's the reason why > >> integration middleware and dbms technology has been my passion for 20+ > >> years. I am a slightly different profile to what you assume in your > comments > >> re. cost-benefits analysis. > >> > >>> I "hear" (your opinion likely differs) you saying there is a global > >>> benefit that enterprises should invest in with no specific ROI for > their > >>> bottom line in any definite period. > >> > >> See comment above. I live problems first, then architect technology to > >> solve them. When I tell you about the costs of data integration to > >> enterprises I am basically telling you that I've lived the problem for > many > >> years. My understanding is quite deep. Sorry, but this isn't an area > when I > >> can pretend to be modest :-) > >> > >>> > >>> Case in point, CAS, http://www.cas.org/. Coming up on 62 million > organic > >>> and inorganic substances given unique identifiers. What is the > incentive for > >>> any of their users/customers to switch to Linked Data? > >> > >> I think the issue is more about: what would identifiers provide to this > >> organization with regards to the obvious need to virtualize its critical > >> data sources such that: > >> > >> 1. data sources are represented as fine grained data objects > >> 2. every data object is endowed with an identifier > >> 3. identifiers become superkey that provide conduits highly navigable > data > >> object based zeitgeists -- a single identifier should resolve to graph > >> pictorial representing all data associated with that specific identifier > and > >> and additional data that has been reconciled logically e.g., leverage > >> owl:sameAs and IFP (inverse functional property) logic. > >> > >>> > >>> As I said several post ago, your success depends upon people investing > in > >>> a technology for your benefit. (In all fairness you argue they benefit > as > >>> well, but they are the best judges of the best use of their time and > >>> resources.) > >> > >> Kingsley > >>> > >>> Hope you are looking forward to a great weekend! > >>> > >>> Patrick > >>> > >>> On 8/18/2011 10:09 PM, Kingsley Idehen wrote: > >>>> > >>>> On 8/18/11 5:27 PM, Patrick Durusau wrote: > >>>>> > >>>>> Kingsley, > >>>>> > >>>>> Citing your own bookmark file hardly qualifies as market numbers. > >>>> > >>>> My own bookmark? I gave you a URL to a bookmark collection. The > >>>> collection contains links for a variety of research documents. > >>>> > >>>>> People promoting technologies make up all sorts of numbers about what > >>>>> use of X will save. Reminds me of the music or software theft > numbers. > >>>> > >>>> Er. and you posted a link to a press release. What's your point? > >>>> > >>>>> They have no relationship to any reality that I share. > >>>> > >>>> But you posted an Informatica press release to make some kind of > point. > >>>> Or am I completely misreading and misunderstanding the purpose of that > URL > >>>> too? > >>>> > >>>>> > >>>>> It's been enjoyable as usual but without some common basis for > >>>>> discussion we aren't going to get any closer to a common > understanding. > >>>> > >>>> Correct :-) > >>>> > >>>> Kingsley > >>>>> > >>>>> Hope you are having a great week! > >>>>> > >>>>> Patrick > >>>>> > >>>>> > >>>>> > >>>>> On 8/18/2011 3:24 PM, Kingsley Idehen wrote: > >>>>>> > >>>>>> On 8/18/11 2:50 PM, Patrick Durusau wrote: > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Kingsley, > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> On 8/18/2011 1:52 PM, Kingsley Idehen wrote: > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> On 8/18/11 1:40 PM, Patrick Durusau wrote: > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Kingsley, > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> From below: > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> This critical value only materializes via appropriate "context > >>>>>>>>>> lenses". For decision makers it is always via opportunity costs. > If someone > >>>>>>>>>> else is eating you lunch by disrupting your market you simply > have to > >>>>>>>>>> respond. Thus, on this side of the fence its better to focus on > eating lunch > >>>>>>>>>> rather than warning about the possibility of doing so, or > outlining how it > >>>>>>>>>> could be done. Just do it! > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> I appreciate the sentiment, "Just do it!" as my close friend Jack > >>>>>>>>> Park says it fairly often. > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> But "Just do it!" doesn't answer the question of cost/benefit. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> I mean: just start eating the lunch i.e., make a solution that > takes > >>>>>>>> advantage of an opportunity en route to market disruption. Trouble > with the > >>>>>>>> Semantic Web is that people spend too much time arguing and > postulating. > >>>>>>>> Ironically, when TimBL worked on the early WWW, his mindset was: > just do it! > >>>>>>>> :-) > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Still dodging the question I see. ;-) > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Of course not. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> You want market research numbers, see the related section at the end > >>>>>> of this reply. I sorta assumed you would have found this > serendipitously > >>>>>> though? Ah! You don't quite believe in the utility of this Linked > Data stuff > >>>>>> etc.. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> It avoids it in favor of advocacy. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> See my comments above. You are skewing my comments to match you > >>>>>>>> desired outcome, methinks. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> You reach that conclusion pretty frequently. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> See my earlier comment. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> I ask for hard numbers, you say that isn't your question and/or > >>>>>>> skewing your comments. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Yes. I didn't know this was about market research and numbers [1]. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Example: Privacy controls and Facebook. How much would it cost to > >>>>>>>>> solve this problem? > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> I assume you know the costs of the above. > >>>>>>>> It won't cost north of a billion dollars to make a WebID based > >>>>>>>> solution. In short, such a thing has existed for a long time, > depending on > >>>>>>>> your "context lenses" . > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> I assume everyone here is familiar with: > http://www.w3.org/wiki/WebID > >>>>>>> ? > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> So we need to take the number of users who have a WebID and > subtract > >>>>>>> that from the number of FaceBook users. > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Yes? > >>>>>> > >>>>>> No! > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Take the number of people that have are members of a service that's > >>>>>> ambivalent to the self calibration of the vulnerabilities of its > members > >>>>>> aka. privacy. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> The remaining number need a WebID or some substantial portion, yes? > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Ultimately they need a WebID absolutely! And do you know why? It > will > >>>>>> enable members begin the inevitable journey towards self calibration > of > >>>>>> their respective vulnerabilities. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> I hope you understand that society is old and the likes of G+, FB > are > >>>>>> new and utterly immature. In society, one is innocent until proven > guilty or > >>>>>> not guilty. In the world of FB and G+ the fundamentals of society > are > >>>>>> currently being inverted. Anyone can ultimately say anything about > you. Both > >>>>>> parties are building cyber police states via their respective silos. > Grr... > >>>>>> don't get me going on this matter. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Every single netizen needs a verifiable identifier. That's the > bottom > >>>>>> line, and WebID (courtesy of Linked Data) and Trust Semantics nails > the > >>>>>> issue. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> So who bears that cost? Each of those users? It cost each of them > >>>>>>> something to get a WebID. Yes? > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Look here is a real world example. Just google up on wire shark re. > >>>>>> Facebook and Google. Until the wire shark episodes both peddled lame > excuses > >>>>>> for not using HTTPS. Today both use HTTPS. Do you want to know why? > Simple > >>>>>> answer: opportunity cost of not doing so became palpable. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> What is their benefit from getting that WebID? Will it outweigh > their > >>>>>>> cost in their eyes? > >>>>>> > >>>>>> See comment above. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> We've already witnessed Craigslist horrors. But all of this is > child's > >>>>>> play if identity isn't fixed on the InterWeb. If you think I need to > give > >>>>>> you market numbers for that too, then I think we are simply talking > past > >>>>>> ourselves (a common occurence). > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Then, what increase in revenue will result from solving it? > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> FB -- less vulnerability and bleed. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> Startups or Smartups: massive opportunity to make sales by solving > a > >>>>>>>> palpable problem. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Or if Facebook's lunch is going to be eaten, say by G+, then why > >>>>>>>>> doesn't G+ solve the problem? > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> G+ is trying to do just that, but in the wrong Web dimension. > That's > >>>>>>>> why neither G+ nor FB have been able to solve the identity > reconciliation > >>>>>>>> riddle. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Maybe you share your observations with G and FB. ;-) > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Hmm. wondering how you've concluded either way :-) > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Seriously, I don't think they are as dumb as everyone seems to > think. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> I haven't characterized them as dumb. I would put this in the > careless > >>>>>> and ambivalent bucket. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> It may well be they have had this very discussion and decided it > >>>>>>> isn't cost effective to address. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> See my earlier comments. Or just look at the G+ "real names" > >>>>>> imbroglio. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Are privacy controls are a non-problem? > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Your "context lenses." > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> True, you can market a product/service that no one has ever seen > >>>>>>>>> before. Like pet rocks. > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> And they "just did it!" > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> With one important difference. > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Their *doing it* did not depend upon the gratuitous efforts of > >>>>>>>>> thousands if not millions of others. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> Don't quite get your point. I am talking about a solution that > >>>>>>>> starts off with identity reconciliation, passes through access > control > >>>>>>>> lists, and ultimately makes virtues of heterogeneous data > virtualization > >>>>>>>> clearer re. data integration pain alleviation. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> In the above we have a market place north of 100 Billion Dollars. > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Yes, but your solution: "...starts off with identity > >>>>>>> reconciliation..." > >>>>>> > >>>>>> See comments above about WebID and Trust Logic. It just another way > of > >>>>>> referring to the issues that have resulted in outputs from the > Semantic Web > >>>>>> Project. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Sure, start with the critical problem already solved and you really > >>>>>>> are at a "...market place north of 100 Billion Dollars...", but > that is all > >>>>>>> in your imagination. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> See my earlier comments. And for your numbers, see links below. > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Having a system of assigned and reconciled WebIDs isn't a zero cost > >>>>>>> to users or businesses solution. It is going to cost someone to > assign and > >>>>>>> reconcile those WebIDs. Yes? > >>>>>> > >>>>>> You can buy a solution that post installation will make and > reconcile > >>>>>> all kinds of identifiers including those that serve are WebIDs for > humans or > >>>>>> agents. > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Since it is your solution, may I ask who is going to pay that cost? > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Companies have been paying for it already, for quite some time :-) I > >>>>>> am not speculating, simply sharing perspective re. what commercial > >>>>>> opportunities exist when you grok the Semantic Web Project stack and > the > >>>>>> application of its output to solutions that solve real problems. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Isn't that an important distinction? > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> Yes, and one that has never been lost on me :-) > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Interested to hear your answer since that distinction has never > been > >>>>>>> lost on you. > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Links: > >>>>>> > >>>>>> 1. http://www.delicious.com/kidehen/market_research -- I am sure > you > >>>>>> can filter through > >>>>>> > >>>>>> > >>>>>> Kingsley > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> Patrick > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> Kingsley > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Hope you are having a great day! > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> Patrick > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> On 8/18/2011 10:54 AM, Kingsley Idehen wrote: > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> On 8/18/11 10:25 AM, Patrick Durusau wrote: > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Kingsley, > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Your characterization of "problems" is spot on: > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> On 8/18/2011 9:01 AM, Kingsley Idehen wrote: > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> <snip> > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>>> Linked Data addresses many real world problems. The trouble is > >>>>>>>>>>>> that problems are subjective. If you have experienced a > problem it doesn't > >>>>>>>>>>>> exist. If you don't understand a problem it doesn't exist. If > you don't know > >>>>>>>>>>>> a problem exists then again it doesn't exist in you context. > >>>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> But you left out: The recognized "problem" must *cost more* > than > >>>>>>>>>>> the cost of addressing it. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> Yes. Now in my case I assumed the above to be implicit when > >>>>>>>>>> context is about a solution or solutions :-) > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> If a solution costs more than the problem, it is a problem^n > >>>>>>>>>> matter. No good. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> A favorable cost/benefit ratio has to be recognized by the > people > >>>>>>>>>>> being called upon to make the investment in solutions. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> Always! Investment evaluation 101 for any business oriented > >>>>>>>>>> decision maker. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> That is recognition of a favorable cost/benefit ratio by the > W3C > >>>>>>>>>>> and company is insufficient. > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Yes? > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> Yes-ish. And here's why. Implementation cost is a tricky factor, > >>>>>>>>>> one typically glossed over in marketing communications that more > often than > >>>>>>>>>> not blind side decision makers; especially those that are > extremely > >>>>>>>>>> technically challenged. Note, when I say "technically > challenged" I am not > >>>>>>>>>> referring to programming skills. I am referring to basic > understanding of > >>>>>>>>>> technology as it applies to a given domain e.g. the enterprise. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> Back to the W3C and "The Semantic Web Project". In this case, > the > >>>>>>>>>> big issue is that degree of unobtrusive delivery hasn't been a > leading > >>>>>>>>>> factor -- bar SPARQL where its deliberate SQL proximity is all > about > >>>>>>>>>> unobtrusive implementation and adoption. Ditto R2RML . > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> RDF is an example of a poorly orchestrated revolution at the > >>>>>>>>>> syntax level that is implicitly obtrusive at adoption and > implementation > >>>>>>>>>> time. It is in this context I agree fully with you. There was a > >>>>>>>>>> misconception that RDF would be adopted like HTML, just like > that. As we can > >>>>>>>>>> all see today, that never happened and will never happened via > revolution. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> What can happen, unobtrusively, is the use and appreciation of > >>>>>>>>>> solutions that generate Linked Data (expressed using a variety > of syntaxes > >>>>>>>>>> and serialized in a variety of formats). That's why we've > invested so much > >>>>>>>>>> time in both Linked Data Middleware and DBMS technology for > ingestion, > >>>>>>>>>> indexing, querying, and serialization. > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>>> For the umpteenth time here are three real world problems > >>>>>>>>>>>> addressed effectively by Linked Data courtesy of AWWW > (Architecture of the > >>>>>>>>>>>> World Wide Web): > >>>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>>> 1. Verifiable Identifiers -- as delivered via WebID > (leveraging > >>>>>>>>>>>> Trust Logic and FOAF) > >>>>>>>>>>>> 2. Access Control Lists -- an application of WebID and Web > >>>>>>>>>>>> Access Control Ontology > >>>>>>>>>>>> 3. Heterogeneous Data Access and Integration -- basically > taking > >>>>>>>>>>>> use beyond the limits of ODBC, JDBC etc.. > >>>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>>> Let's apply the items above to some contemporary solutions > that > >>>>>>>>>>>> illuminate the costs of not addressing the above: > >>>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>>> 1. G+ -- the "real name" debacle is WebID 101 re. pseudonyms, > >>>>>>>>>>>> synonyms, and anonymity > >>>>>>>>>>>> 2. Facebook -- all the privacy shortcomings boil down to not > >>>>>>>>>>>> understanding the power of InterWeb scale verifiable > identifiers and access > >>>>>>>>>>>> control lists > >>>>>>>>>>>> 3. Twitter -- inability to turn Tweets into structured > >>>>>>>>>>>> annotations that are basically nano-memes > >>>>>>>>>>>> 4. Email, Comment, Pingback SPAM -- a result of not being able > >>>>>>>>>>>> to verify identifiers > >>>>>>>>>>>> 5. Precision Find -- going beyond the imprecision of Search > >>>>>>>>>>>> Engines whereby subject attribute and properties are used to > contextually > >>>>>>>>>>>> discover relevant things (explicitly or serendipitously). > >>>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>>> The problem isn't really a shortage of solutions, far from it. > >>>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> For the sake of argument only, conceding these are viable > >>>>>>>>>>> solutions, the question is: > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Do they provide more benefit than they cost? > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> Yes. They do, unequivocally. > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> If that can't be answered favorably, in hard currency (or some > >>>>>>>>>>> other continuum of value that appeals to particular investors), > no one is > >>>>>>>>>>> going to make the investment. > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Economics 101. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> This critical value only materializes via appropriate "context > >>>>>>>>>> lenses". For decision makers it is always via opportunity costs. > If someone > >>>>>>>>>> else is eating you lunch by disrupting your market you simply > have to > >>>>>>>>>> respond. Thus, on this side of the fence its better to focus on > eating lunch > >>>>>>>>>> rather than warning about the possibility of doing so, or > outlining how it > >>>>>>>>>> could be done. Just do it! > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> That isn't specific to SemWeb but any solution to a problem. > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> Yes! > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> The solution has to provide a favorable cost/benefit ratio or > it > >>>>>>>>>>> won't be adopted. Or at least not widely. > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Hope you are having a great day! > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>>> Patrick > >>>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>>> > >>>>>>> > >>>>>> > >>>>>> > >>>>> > >>>> > >>>> > >>> > >> > >> > > > > -- > > Patrick Durusau > > patrick@durusau.net > > Chair, V1 - US TAG to JTC 1/SC 34 > > Convener, JTC 1/SC 34/WG 3 (Topic Maps) > > Editor, OpenDocument Format TC (OASIS), Project Editor ISO/IEC 26300 > > Co-Editor, ISO/IEC 13250-1, 13250-5 (Topic Maps) > > > > Another Word For It (blog): http://tm.durusau.net > > Homepage: http://www.durusau.net > > Twitter: patrickDurusau > > > > > > > >
Received on Friday, 19 August 2011 18:27:43 UTC