Re: Open letter urging to pause AI

It's out of the bottle and will be played with.
" .. being run on consumer laptops. And that’s not even thinking about state
level actors .. "Large resources will be thrown at this.
It was a long time ago that Henry Story (of course, many others too, but more in
this context) pointed out that, as to what pertains to the truth, competing
logical deductions cannot decide themselves.
I just had this experience, and the details are not important.

The point is that, in this case, I asked the same question to GPT-4 and
perplexity.ai, and they gave different answers.Since it was something I wanted
to know the answer to, and it was sufficiently complex, I was not in a position
to judge which was correct.
Petitioning for funding for experts, i.e.researchers and university professors.
Although it is absurd to think they would have time to mediate between all the
obscure information sorting correct from incorrect and, of course, a person can
be wrong too.
Then there is the issue of attribution ...At the moment, perplexity.ai has a
word salad of dubious recent publications; GPT -4 has a "knowledge cutoff for my
training data is September 2021". It finds it difficult to reason about time in
any case, but these are details.
Others in this email thread have cast doubt on Musk's motivation (give it time
to catch up) and Microsoft (didn't care for any consequences by jumping in now).
So there are issues of funding and control -- calling on the state to intervene
is appealing to the power next up the hierarchy, but can such regulations be
effective when administered by the state?
That really just leaves us with grassroots education and everyday intervention.
Best on an important topic,

Adam
Adam Saltiel  





On Wed, Mar 29, 2023 at 9:39 PM Martin Hepp <mfhepp@gmail.com>  wrote:
I could not agree more with Dan - a “non-proliferation” agreement nor a
moratorium of AI advancements is simply much more unrealistic than it was with
nukes. We hardly managed to keep the number of crazy people with access to nukes
under control, but for building your next generation of AI, you will not need
anything but brain, programming skills, and commodity resources. Machines will
not take over humankind, but machines can add giant levers to single individuals
or groups.

Best wishesMartin
---------------------------------------martin heppwww:  https://www.heppnetz.de/

On 29. Mar 2023, at 22:30, Dan Brickley <danbri@danbri.org> wrote:



On Wed, 29 Mar 2023 at 20:51, ProjectParadigm-ICT-Program <
metadataportals@yahoo.com> wrote:
This letter speaks for itself.

https://www.reuters.com/technology/musk-experts-urge-pause-training-ai-systems-that-can-outperform-gpt-4-2023-03-29/

I may not want to put it as bluntly as Elon Musk, who cautioned against
unregulated AI which he called "more dangerous than nukes", but when Nick
Bostrom, the late Stephen Hawking, and dozens, no hundreds of international
experts, scientists and industry leaders start ringing the bell, is is time to
pause and reflect.
Every aspect of daily life, every industry, education systems, academia and even
our cognitive rights will be impacted.
I would also like to point out that some science fiction authors have done a
great job on very accurately predicting a dystopian future ruled by technology,
perhaps the greatest of them all being Philip K. Dick.
But there are dozens of other authors as well and they all give a fairly good
impression what awaits us if we do not regulate and control the further
development of AI now.
I have a *lot* of worries, but the genie is out of the bottle.
It’s 60 lines of code for the basics,https://jaykmody.com/blog/gpt-from-scratch/
Facebook’s Llama model is out there, and being run on consumer laptops. And
that’s not even thinking about state level actors, or how such regulation might
be worded.
For my part (and v personal opinion) I think focussing on education, sensible
implementation guidelines, and trying to make sure the good outweighs the bad.
Dan



Milton PonsonGSM: +297 747 8280PO Box 1154, Oranjestad
Aruba, Dutch Caribbean
Project Paradigm: Bringing the ICT tools for sustainable development to all
stakeholders worldwide through collaborative research on applied mathematics,
advanced modeling, software and standards development